Cover
Title Page
Copyright
The RAND Environment, Energy, and Economic Development Program
Contents
Figures
Tables
Introduction
Use of Robust Decision Making to Evaluate Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Strategies
How Reliable Is EID’s Current Plan Under a Wide Range of Plausible Assumptions About the Future?
Under What Conditions Is EID’s Current Plan Most Vulnerable?
How Can EID’s Vulnerabilities Be Reduced Through Additional Management Options?
What Are the Key Tradeoffs and How Can They Inform Decisions?
Conclusion
Acknowledgments
Abbreviations
1. Introduction
2. An Approach for Addressing Climate Change by Local Water Agencies
EID Overview
EID Management Challenges and Opportunities
Incorporating Climate and Other Uncertainty into EID’s Planning
XLRM Framework for Structuring Uncertainty Analysis
Relationships (R)
Uncertainties (X)
Management Options and Strategies (L)
Performance Metrics (M)
Interactive Visualizations
How Reliable Is EID’s Current Plan Under Standard Planning Assumptions?
How Reliable Is EID’s Current Plan Under Alternative but Plausible Assumptions About the Future?
To Which Conditions Is EID’s Current Plan Most Vulnerable?
How Can EID’s Vulnerabilities Be Reduced Through Additional Management Options?
What Are the Key Tradeoffs Among EID’s Strategies for Reducing Vulnerability?
How Can Expectations of the Future Inform EID Planning Decisions?
5. Discussion
References