Cover
Title Page
Copyright
Preface
Contents
Figures
Summary
Acknowledgments
Abbreviations
Chapter One: Introduction
Demographics
Climate
Economics
The Shifting Military Balance
Regime Survival, Social Order, and Economic Growth
Territorial Integrity
Global Role
Debate over Chinese Power and Assertiveness
Use of Force
Popular War
Resource War
Sovereignty Issues and “Blowback”
Regional Interests and Policies
South China Sea, the Philippines, and Vietnam
Japan and the East China Sea
Taiwan
Korean Peninsula
India
Wild Card: China’s Internal Development
China’s Evolving Regional Strategy
Alternative Futures
Hegemonic China
Systemic Breakdown
Conclusions
Chapter Four: U.S. Interests and Policies
Korea
Conflict over Maritime Claims
Conflict with India or Russia
Conclusions
Chapter Five: U.S. Military Strategy and Posture
The Challenges of Deterrence
Shaping U.S. Military Strategy
U.S. Military Strategy Across Alternative Futures
Enhancing Crisis Stability and Reducing the Risks of Miscalculation
Signposts on the Way to a Hegemonic China
Chapter Six: The U.S. Army in Asia
Training, Supporting, and Engaging
Providing Facility Defense
Supporting the Joint Force
Projecting Expeditionary Combat Power
Contributing to New Deterrence Approaches
Two Institutional Observations
Conclusions
Chapter Seven: Conclusions
Enabling Support for the U.S. Joint Force
Expeditionary Combat Power
Anti-Access Capability
Strengthening Military-to-Military Relations
Characterizing the U.S. Military Posture in Asia
Appendix: Differentiating Between a “Systemic Continuity” and a “Hegemonic” China
Bibliography