Cover
Title Page
Copyright
Preface
Contents
Figures
Tables
Summary
Acknowledgments
Background
Organization
CHAPTER TWO: Why Does India’s Interest in Southeast Asia Matter to the United States?
Congruence of Indian and U.S. Goals in Southeast Asia
Implications for U.S. Strategy of “Asian Rebalancing”
Implications for Overall U.S.-India Relationship
Implications for U.S. Burden-Sharing and Cost Savings
Background to India’s Strategy: Ancient Culture, Non-Invasive Politics
Elements of Indian Strategy: Connectivity, Trade, Energy, Diplomatic Institutions, Security Cooperation, Humanitarian Assistance/Disaster Relief, Balancer for China
CHAPTER FOUR: How Is India’s Strategy Being Implemented in Southeast Asia?
Singapore
Vietnam
Myanmar/Burma
Thailand
Malaysia
Indonesia
Philippines
Brunei, Cambodia, and Laos
Conclusion
CHAPTER FIVE: Is Southeast Asia an Arena for Sino-Indian Rivalry?
China’s Strategic Interests and Activities in Southeast Asia
How Does China Regard India’s Presence in Southeast Asia?
Concerns of Potential Encirclement Do Not Drive Chinese Policy
How Does India Regard China’s Presence in Southeast Asia?
What Are Some Potential Sparks of Sino-Indian Confrontation?
How Might India Respond in Southeast Asia to Provocations Elsewhere?
CHAPTER SIX: India’s Internal Politics, 2014–2030: Impact on Policy Toward Southeast Asia
Near Term (2015–2019): Broad Trends During the Modi Administration
Medium Term (2019–2030): Coalition Governments May Be Reversion to Norm
Impact of Regional Parties on Southeast Asia Policy
Impact of Domestic Politics: Likeliest Post-2014 Scenario Is Slow, Steadily Increasing Engagement
Impact of Domestic Politics: Lower-Probability Alternate Scenario—Indian Pullback from Southeast Asia
Impact of Domestic Politics: Lower-Probability Alternate Scenario—Increased Sino-Indian Rivalry in Southeast Asia
Key Findings
Recommendations
Concluding Thoughts
Abbreviations
Bibliography