A. The Weapons on Target Model
Title Page
Copyright
Preface
Contents
Figures
Tables
Summary
Acknowledgments
Abbreviations
Planning with Predictive Failure
Munitions Mix Challenge
Organization of This Report
Comparison of RDM and Traditional Analysis
RDM Enables Decision Makers to Discover Robust Strategies Through Iteration
XLRM Factors Shape the Design of the Experiment
Initial Analysis of a Broad Range of Munitions Mix Strategies
Analysis of Potentially More Robust Munitions Mix Strategies
Stress-Testing of Strategies over Many Futures
Scenarios That Illuminate the Vulnerabilities of Strategies
Performance of Big+Deter-Mixed Strategy in the Moderate Scenario
Future Focus on Purchase Rules in Addition to Portfolio Goals
A Robust Munitions Mix Strategy
The Future of RDM in Defense Planning
APPENDIXES
B. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN
C. Data
References