Cover
Title Page
Copyright
About This Report
Summary
Contents
Figures and Tables
CHAPTER ONE: Introduction
Sample Identification
Number of Individuals Directly Invited to Respond
Selecting Gun Policies and Outcomes for Analysis
Estimating the Effects of Gun Policies
Spillover Effects of Firearm Policies on Nonfirearm Deaths
Analytic Plan
Respondent Sample
Class Identification
Estimated Effects of Policies on Outcomes
Beliefs About Firearm Law Effects on Nonfirearm Deaths
Beliefs About Legal Gun Ownership and Homicide Risk
CHAPTER FIVE: Do Experts in the Two Groups Value or Prioritize Different Outcomes?
Overview of Methods
Results
Conclusions
Methods, Assumptions, and Limitations
Using the Gun Policy Expert-Opinion Tool
CHAPTER SEVEN: Discussion and Conclusions
Expert Groups’ Assessments of Policies and Their Effects Showed Some Areas of Agreement
Experts’ Estimates of the Probable Effects of Policies Are Broadly Consistent with Scant Available Science
Group Differences Concern True Effects of Policies, Not Different Priorities or Policy Objectives
Groups Differ on Fundamental Questions About Guns and Gun Policy
Recommendations
A. RAND Survey of Firearms Experts
B. Descriptive Statistics by Expert Class, Outcome, and Policy
C. Statistical Modeling of Experts’ Favorability Ratings
D. Data Sources, Calculations, and Additional Assumptions for the Online Gun Policy Expert-Opinion Tool
References
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