Table of Contents
List of Tables
List of Figures
List of Abbreviations
Preface
1.1 Empirical puzzle
1.2 The arguments in brief
1.3 Structure of the book
2.1 The political-economic and societal background to Third Way
policies
Social Democracy’s transformation towards the Third Way
2.2 Social policy and the welfare state as a base for social democratic
alignment
2.3 Welfare state reform as a catalyst for partisan dealignment
Comparison of traditional social democratic and Third Way social policy
2.4 Decommodification, social class and conceptualising the social democratic core constituency
The impact of the electoral system for the electoral effects of the reforms
Competitor parties for social democracy after Third Way reforms under PR
Challenge from the left
Challenge from the right
Credibility considerations and the prospects for challenger parties
Mainstream parties as potential challengers
2.6 Social democracy and declining class voting
3.1 Case selection and strategy of comparison
3.2 Analysis of reforms
3.3 Analysis of the electoral consequences of reforms
3.5 Organisation of chapters
4. United Kingdom
4.1 The social policy of the Labour Party
4.2 Alignment of the social democratic core constituency in the United Kingdom
4.3 Welfare state reforms in Britain under New Labour, 1997-2005
4.4 Party competition around welfare state reforms, 1997-2005
4.5 Data and variables
Attitudes towards Labour’s policy and voting behaviour after 1997
Electoral effects of Labour’s policy change, 1997-2001
Electoral effects of Labour’s policy change, 2001-05
4.7 Conclusion
5. Germany
5.1 The social policy of German social democracy
5.2 Alignment of the social democratic core constituency in Germany
5.3 Welfare state reforms in Germany and their political context, 1998-2009
5.4 Party competition on welfare state reforms in Germany, 1998-2009
5.5 Data and variables
Attitudes towards reform proposals and actual reforms
First red-green cabinet, 1998-2002
Second red-green cabinet 2002-05
The SPD in the Grand Coalition, 2005-09
5.7 Conclusion
6. Denmark
6.1 The social policy of social democracy in Denmark
6.2 The traditional core constituency of Danish social democracy
6.3 The labour market reforms under social democratic governments, 1993-2001
6.4 Party competition and welfare state reforms, 1993-2001
6.5 Data and variables
Attitudes towards reform proposals and party choice after 1993
Alignment of SD’s core constituency, 1994-98
Alignment of SD’s core constituency and breakthrough of the Danish People’s Party, 1998-2001
6.7 Conclusion
7.1 The Swedish social democratic party and its social policy
7.2 The core constituency of Swedish social democracy
7.3 The Third Road, crisis responses and welfare state reforms in the 1980s and 1990s
7.4 Party competition in Sweden, 1991-2006
Attitudes towards labour market reform proposals and party shares
The electoral punishment after the crisis, 1994-98
The SAP’s recovery and the Left Party’s setback, 1998-2002
7.7 The SAP’s electoral fortunes in opposition
7.8 Conclusion
8.1 General expectations and summary of findings
The role of the electoral system for the electoral effects of the reforms
The role of party competition for the electoral effects of the reforms
8.2 Discussion of rival explanations
9. Discussion
9.1 Applicability of arguments to other countries
9.2 Contribution to existing literature and political implications
9.3 Implications for future research on social democracy
Appendix A: Appendix to Chapter 4 (United Kingdom)
Appendix B: Appendix to Chapter 5 (Germany)
Appendix C: Appendix to Chapter 6 (Denmark)
Appendix D: Appendix to Chapter 7 (Sweden)
2. Theoretical Background
4. United Kingdom
5. Germany
6. Denmark
7. Sweden
9. Discussion
References
Index
Changing Welfare States Previously Published