Results by title

4 books match the query 'Population forecasting'

cover of America's Demographic Tapestry: Baseline for the New Millennium

America's Demographic Tapestry

Baseline for the New Millennium

Edited by James W. Hughes and Joseph J. Seneca

Rutgers University Press, 1999

Beneath the surface of public-policy concerns that seem temporary are powerful evolutionary forces with long-term effects. One of the most important of these is the profound demographic change taking place in America-change which has extraordinary social and economic consequences, and far-reaching public-policy implications for the future of the nation.

James W. Hughes and Joseph J. Seneca have assembled experts on demography, immigration, policy, and family life to explain and document both changes and prospects for changes. Contributors profile the contours of demographic change in America and identify select public-policy challenges arising from this change. They cover a wide range of demographic shifts-"baby booms" and "baby busts," rising immigration, increasing ethnic and racial diversity, the proliferation of different household configurations, economic upward mobility that stems from the information-age rather than the industrial economy, and suburban and sunbelt gains.

[more]
cover of Population Trends in New Jersey

Population Trends in New Jersey

James W. Hughes

Rutgers University Press, 2022

To fully understand New Jersey in the 2020s and beyond, it is crucial to understand its ever-changing population. This book examines the twenty-first century demographic trends that are reshaping the state now and will continue to do so in the future. But trend analysis requires a deep historical context. Present-day New Jersey is the result of a long demographic and economic journey that has taken place over centuries, constantly influenced by national and global forces. This book provides a detailed examination of this journey.  The result is present-day New Jersey.
 
The authors also highlight key trends that will continue to transform the state: domestic migration out of the state and immigration into it; increasing diversity; slower overall population growth; contracting fertility; the household revolution and changing living arrangements; generational disruptions; and suburbanization versus re-urbanization. All of these factors help place in context the result of the 2020 decennial U.S. Census.

While the book focuses on New Jersey, the Garden State is a template of demographic, economic, social, and other forces characterizing the United States in the twenty-first century.
[more]
cover of Transparency in Population Forecasting: Methods for Fitting and Projecting Fertility, Mortality and Migration

Transparency in Population Forecasting

Methods for Fitting and Projecting Fertility, Mortality and Migration

Joop de Beer

Amsterdam University Press, 2011

To create an accurate population forecast, a forecaster can use a myriad of different methods to assemble his or her data. The transparency of the forecaster’s data and methods is essential, and the forecaster must be able to argue for and explain their assumptions. In this useful book, Joop de Beer specifically investigates how a population’s fertility, life expectancy, and migration patterns can be used to shape a population forecast. He also shows how comparative data, such as the difference between longevity in Europe and Japan, can be helpful when creating population projections. 

[more]
cover of World Population Growth and Aging: Demographic Trends in the Late Twentieth Century

World Population Growth and Aging

Demographic Trends in the Late Twentieth Century

Nathan Keyfitz and Wilhelm Flieger

University of Chicago Press, 1991

Drawing data from official sources in 60 countries, as well as from the United Nations and the World Bank, this compendium of statistical information on population, fertility, and mortality treats every one of the UN-recognized countries in at least summary form. With data from 1950 onward and projections through 2020, this volume extends the dataset of Nathan Keyfitz and Wilhelm Flieger's landmark work, World Population: An Analysis of Vital Data (1968), with virtually no overlap.

All the life tables, standardized rates, and projections have been generated by uniform methods to ensure easy comparison among countries. More than 800 charts provide a foundation for analyzing the radical demographic changes now taking place: the historic lows of fertility in Germany and other industrial countries, Africa's persistently high fertility, and the worldwide extension of life expectancy. The product of cautious and painstaking labor, this work promises to be an important resource for further demographic research as well as a valuable comparative resource for studies of the status of global social welfare and the environment.
[more]