Three scenarios for future approaches to peace and conflict diplomacy, explored through the lens of regional perspectives and security threats

Diplomacy in pursuit of peace and security faces severe challenges not seen in decades. The reemergence of strong states, discord in the UN Security Council, destabilizing transnational nonstate actors, closing space for civil society within states, and the weakening of the international liberal order all present new obstacles to diplomacy.

In Diplomacy and the Future of World Order, an international group of experts confronts these challenges to peace and conflict diplomacy—defined as the effort to manage others’ conflicts, cope with great power competition, and deal with threats to the state system itself. In doing so, they consider three potential scenarios for world order where key states decide to go it alone, return to a liberal order, or collaborate on a case-by-case basis to address common threats and problems.

These three scenarios are then evaluated through the prism of regional perspectives from around the world and for their potential ramifications for major security threats including peacekeeping, nuclear nonproliferation, cyber competition, and terrorism. Editors Chester A. Crocker, Fen Osler Hampson, and Pamela Aall conclude the volume by identifying emerging types of diplomacy that may form the foundation for global peacemaking and conflict management in an uncertain future.

Chester A. Crocker is the James R. Schlesinger Professor of the Practice of Strategic Studies at the Walsh School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University. He previously served as the assistant secretary for the US Department of State’s Bureau of African Affairs.

Fen Osler Hampson is a Chancellor’s Professor and professor of international affairs at the Norman Paterson School of International Affairs at Carleton University and president of the World Refugee and Migration Council.

Pamela Aall is a senior advisor for conflict prevention and management at the United States Institute of Peace.

List of Illustrations Foreword by William J. BurnsAcknowledgments

Part I:Peace and Conflict Diplomacy in the Current International Environment

1 A Challenging Time for Peace and Conflict Diplomacy Chester A. Crocker, Fen Osler Hampson, and Pamela Aall

2 Grasping Global Problems by Root or by Branch Chester A. Crocker, Fen Osler Hampson, and Pamela Aall

3 International Organizations—Down but Not Out Jean-Marie Guéhenno

Part II:Regional Perspectives on Discord and Collaboration4 US Peace and Conflict Diplomacy in a State-Centric World Hans Binnendijk

5 Europe’s Persistent Gap between Rhetoric and Reality Ana Palacio

6 A View from Russia on Diplomacy and Conflict Management Dmitri Trenin

7 Peace and Conflict Diplomacy in Latin America Marcos Tourinho

8 African Peace and Conflict Diplomacy in Uncertain Times Solomon Ayele Dersso

9 Resilient Statism in a Changing Middle East Shadi Hamid

10 Southern Asia’s Realist Future Kanti Bajpai

11 Can ASEAN’s Institutions Do Preventive Diplomacy? See Seng Tan

12 Sino-USInteractions, Past and Future Chas W. Freeman Jr.

Part III:Discord and Collaboration on Major Security Threats13 The Future of UN Peacekeeping and the Rise of China Lise Morjé Howard

14 Nuclear Nonproliferation at a Crossroads Toby Dalton

15 Great Power Rivalries in 5G Technology Markets Stacie Hoffmann, Samantha Bradshaw, and Emily Taylor

16 Terrorism and the Decay of the Liberal Order Daniel Benjamin

Part IV:Conclusion17 Diplomacy and World Order Chester A. Crocker, Fen Osler Hampson, and Pamela Aall

References Contributors Index