A critical look at how China’s growing strategic arsenal could impact a rapidly changing world order

China’s strategic capabilities and doctrine have historically differed from the United States’ and Russia’s. China has continued to modernize and expand its arsenal despite its policy of no first use, while the United States and Russia have decreased deployed weapons stocks.

This volume brings together an international group of distinguished scholars to provide a fresh assessment of China's strategic military capabilities, doctrines, and political perceptions in light of rapidly advancing technologies, an expanding and modernizing nuclear arsenal, and an increased great-power competition with the United States.

Analyzing China's strategic arsenal is critical for a deeper understanding of China’s relations with both its neighbors and the world. Without a doubt, China’s arsenal is growing in size and sophistication, but key uncertainties also lie ahead. Will China’s new capabilities and confidence lead it to be more assertive and take more risks? Will China’s nuclear traditions change as the strategic balance improves? Will China’s approach to military competition be guided by a notion of strategic stability or not? Will there be a strategic arms race with the United States? China's Strategic Arsenal provides a current understanding of these issues as we strive for a stable strategic future with China.

Paul J. Bolt is a professor and the head of the Department of Political Science at the US Air Force Academy. He has published on Chinese foreign relations and defense issues, and coauthored China, Russia, and Twenty-First Century Global Geopolitics.

James M. Smith is the director of the US Air Force Institute for National Security Studies at the US Air Force Academy, where he serves as a professor of strategic studies. He has published on strategic issues, terrorism, and military leader development.

Introduction

1. The US-Chinese Relationship and China as a Twenty-first Century Strategic Power, James M. Smith and Paul J. Bolt

2. China’s “Nested” Worldview, Andrew Scobell

3. China’s Nuclear Doctrine and Deterrence Concept, Christopher P. Twomey

4. Strategic Stability and the Impact of China’s Modernizing Strategic Strike Forces, Sugio Takahashi

5. China’s Strategic Systems and Programs, Hans M. Kristensen

6. China’s Regional Nuclear Capability, Non-Nuclear Strategic Systems, and Integration of Concepts and Operations, Phillip C. Saunders and David C. Logan

7. Organization of China’s Strategic Forces, Bates Gill

8. China on Arms Control, Nonproliferation, and Strategic Stability, Nancy W. Gallagher

9. China’s Strategic Future, Brad Roberts

List of Contributors

Index